badgerboy
(member)
05/07/2007 23:50
Re: Copa America 2007

Quote:

I would go a little bit further here. It seems the confrontations in this Copa America have been arranged so as the home team (Venezuela) would have a much easier way through to the finals. It may only be my imagination but something is kind of odd, just take a look in group B and ask yourself, would you prefer to be the 1st or 2nd in that group?





I noticed that.

Quote:

Actually if I'm reading the quarter-final draw right I find it a bit odd.

Gp A 1st v 2nd best 3rd
Gp B 2nd v Best 3rd
Gp B 1st v Gp C 2nd
Gp C 1st v GP A 2nd

So - firstly you could end up playing the same team in the quarters as in the groups - if say the second best 3rd comes from Group A. And secondly - you're better off being second in Group B rather than first since in the quarters you play only a "best 3rd" rather than a second-placed team AND if Argentina win Group C you avoid them until the final!






..except I missed how beneficial that should've been for Venezuela (assuming Brazil & Argentina had both actually won their groups) and only realised today that Brazil finishing second means they avoid Argentina until the final regardless of what Argentina do today.

Maybe Brazil's mediocrity so far is simply Dunga's "cunning plan" to give his team the easiest path to the final (no Mexico or Paraguay either). And they might only have to play really well once to win the thing...


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